With just over five months before the 2022 midterm elections, it’s becoming more and more clear that a Republican wave is building out in the country.
On Thursday, the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, a nonpartisan handicapping service, moved 10 of its House race ratings in favor of Republicans and adjusted its predictions of GOP gains in the fall upward to between 20 and 35 seats.
“While Biden’s poor standing sets the stage for a national election with down ballot consequences, Democrats will try to run dozens of individual races in which their battle-tested incumbents can weather the storm by discrediting GOP candidates,” wrote Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin in a recent edition of their Inside Elections newsletter. “Some Democrats are currently running ahead of Biden’s job rating but that isn’t sustainable on a broad scale as voters focus on races and realize control of Washington is at stake. Democratic survivors in competitive districts will be the exception rather than the rule.”
The reality of this current political moment is that things appear to be getting worse for Democrats the closer we get to the election. Fears of a wave washing away even incumbents previously considered safe now seem entirely justified.
Cillizza also notes that mid-term elections tend to go poorly for the party of the incumbent President and that another predictor called “generic ballot” polling suggest Biden’s party is in trouble.
If CNN, is admitting this then the Democrats might be in very rough shape.